Betting Picks

Archive for the ‘Dagool’ Category

It’s football season and the games are getting more and more exciting. The Gamblers Report, or TGR is right there. The TGR Gold Consensus current stats are 23-6 for the season. They have actually had 5 perfect sweeps on the board. They are making excellent post, out doing any other service in the country. They are doing better and the results are true. They just swept the board again last week with a 3 – 0 presentation. That was the 5th sweep of the year.

The TGR’s goal is to give their customers excellent advice on who to bet on. They have experts that have fantastic knowledge of the game. Are able to give great picks to bet on. They want to help their customers win.

The TGR is dedicated to providing specialist in the different sports activities. They have knowledge, are honest, trustworthy and look out for the customers best interest. They provide that most precise information for their members on a daily basis.

You can meet the experts. Look at their track record. See how well they have done and feel good about the information they are giving you to use.

Register for today’s free picks. You will get a short explanation about the game, what they feel the teams can do, help you pick the winning team. Talk about the condition of the team, if it’s at it’s top game level or if injuries could be taking a toll on them. For baseball who is pitching, and what their averages are.

You can even get the service on your mobile phone so you never miss a winner. You can check out the top picks on your phone and buy them if you choose. You can use your cell phone, your PDA or a SmartPhone plus more. Service goes where you go.

Get great information anyone who bets on games could use. If you want the best service out there, go with the TGR Gold Consensus Club.Take a 7 day trial, test it out, see if it works for you.

There is no secret in the fact that there are numerous handicapping services out there with excellent success rates and more than decent prices, well capable of radically improving your football betting performance. How do you go about hiring one such handicapping service though? There are several things you should consider and actual service selection is just one of them. The first thing you need to decide is whether or not it does indeed make sense for you to spend money on football picks. If you’re a good enough handicapper on your own (meaning that you register consistent success rates of around 55%), there’s not much point in your hiring a professional handicapper to help you improve. You’re not going to improve a whole lot above your current performance rate, and when you factor in the cost of the service, you will realize that you haven’t really achieved anything.

Not all folks are better than decent handicappers though. Still, even among those who are not, there are people who do not need the help of a professional handicapping service. These people represent the recreational segment, and they bet only small amounts of money on their games and do it mostly for fun. For such people, the cost that a truly effective handicapping service incurs doesn’t quite make any sense. A point of reference in this case is the $20 mark. If you bet less than that on your individual games, then hiring a professional handicapper will end up costing you more than you stand to win. The reason is simple: the picks cost you exactly the same, regardless of the amount of money that you bet. If you are only betting for fun anyway, then you obviously do not need a professional ruining your game with his expertise.

Perhaps the most important factor in hiring a professional handicapper is doing the actual selection. There are countless online and off-line handicapping interests more or less keen on selling you their services. Assess them carefully and consider the following: The reputation of the handicapper: how long has the service been around, how well is it known among professional sports bettors, and what is the general vibe about it?

How aggressively does your professional handicapper approach his marketing? If he is constantly on the phone, harassing you and selling your number to other similar interests, you should be extremely wary of doing business with him. Some handicapping services hire aggressive sales personnel in order to push their products. These guys will promise you a lot, but at the end of the day it is their reputation and the performance that they deliver that should sell them, and not some crafty salesperson. Most of these services will insist that you give them your phone number. That alone should be enough to make you cautious. Make sure that the handicapping philosophy used by your professional handicapper matches your own. If your handicapper constantly focuses on betting the underdog while your philosophy is about backing the favorite, you’ll find it extremely difficult to swallow the pill he sells you.

How willing is your handicapper when it comes to revealing his performance records? If he is all shady about it, not exactly keen to let you know how he’s done in the past, you should just move on. There are online services out there which do post all their past data, making it available for all comers, so there’s really no reason for you to venture into uncharted territory. How detailed are your handicapper’s picks? Does he offer detailed explanation attached to the picks he delivers? You do need to have a certain amount of insight into the way he creates his picks in order to develop some trust. If your handicapper offers free picks, by all means do try them before you commit money. Such free picks may not be worth much but they will give you a general idea on your handicapper’s abilities and approach.

To get the vibe on your handicapper, register for a forum. Sports betting forums work like poker forums and online casino forums: they provide a platform for the community to voice their concerns about certain operators and to properly rate the various online poker rooms and professional handicapping services.

Sports betting attracts thousands and thousands of new players each day, mostly people who have no idea what they’re getting themselves into. Of course there isn’t a single one among these squares who doesn’t know his sport. As matter of fact, most of them think that understanding a sport makes them good sports bettors. Simply understanding the sport has very little to do with sports betting success though. Being able to tell which team is more likely to win will never suffice. What these people need to understand is that in sports betting they are not up against the odds generated by the mechanics of the game. They’re up against an entity whose sole purpose is to completely wring every drop of value out of every single match up it accepts wagers on. This entity is the bookmaker and the bookmaker makes his money risk-free, by getting people to bet on both sides of the games he offers, in approximately equal numbers.

This is why understanding the line is much more important than being able to pick a winner. The business of betting is about a whole bunch of intricacies, of which straight, proper handicapping is only a small part. If I were to point out the single most important factor in sports betting, it would be understanding of the line. Lines can be expressed in two ways in US sports. There’s the money line and there’s the spread. By betting on the money line, the player is essentially aiming to pick a winner. A money line bet is extremely simple: pick team A or team B to win. Since every single match up has a favorite and an underdog, and it’s relatively simple to tell them apart, the choice is easy, right? Not quite. The bookmaker balances such money line bets. The money line is usually expressed through a decimal number, which can be a positive or negative one, depending on whether it’s a favorite or an underdog we are talking about. Suppose team A is -1.3 favorite over team B. What this essentially means is that the bettor has to risk $1.3 for every dollar he stands to win. The larger the margin, the more likely the favorite is to win. If team B is a +1.2 underdog, it means the player only risks a dollar for every $1.2 he stands to win. As you can see, the bookie can pretty much wring the value out of such money line bets too. Money line bets are mostly used in NHL and MLB betting.

The NBA and NFL represent the most popular betting markets. The line used in NBA or NFL bets is mostly the spread. The spread is relatively a simple concept to understand too. What the bookmaker does is that he gives the favorite of the matchup a handicap to start the game with. Let’s consider team A facing off with team B. A -4 spread for team A means the team A is basically a four-point favorite, and as such, it begins the game 4 points down as far as the bet is concerned. Those who bet on team A, will only win if team A triumphs by a margin bigger than 4 points. In this case team B is a +4 underdog. Those who bet on team B will win if their team loses by fewer than 4 points. Such a turnout would mean that their team has become an ATS winner. The money line and the spread are far from being the only ways one can bet on sports. One can also bet on totals. These bets are known as over/under bets and what they do is that they basically have the player guessing the total amount of points scored by both teams in a game. One can only bet on over or under and depending on where the total ends up, he will walk away a winner or a loser. Taking your betting online always makes sense for the simple reason that most online betting sites offer their players sign-up bonuses and various loyalty deals to keep them motivated. These loyalty deals work like rakeback in poker. Poker rakeback deals offer players a rebate on the poker rake they generate. Sportsbook loyalty deals reward players based on the amount of money they wager.

How should you go about finding and picking a sports betting system that actually works? Are there such systems out there at all? The answer to that second question is an obvious “yes”. There are working systems out there, but they may not look the way you’d expect them to. If you expect to see >90% winning rates and 63-1 records, you need to think again. Systems which advertise such performances are all – without a single exception –scams. The fact that people try to sell you such systems for a handful of buckskins online should already raise a red flag, but I’ll go deeper into the issue to make sure you understand what it is that you’re really dealing with.

Such “ultra” systems are always based on chase systems. Even if you’re not a sharp sports bettor yet, you know as much that chasing one’s losses is just about the worst thing one can do. These systems work based on chasing your losses. Basically, it’s the infamous Martingale system that we’re talking about here. The Martingale system tells the bettors to double their wagers every time they lose. This is actually a mathematically sounds approach, if you add an infinite bankroll into the equation. Since in real life there is no such thing though, the whole thing will blow up in the face of whoever decides to use it. Ask any seasoned casino gambler about the Martingale system if you do not believe me. The way the scam systems come up with the fabulous numbers they post is a simple one: they simulate the betting process using the above-described chase system. When they hit the winning bet, they disregard all the losses that occurred leading up to it. After all, the bettor is supposed to recover all that money, so they can’t be counted as losses, right? Wrong. Losses are losses and wins are wins, and if you were to stick to that when keeping track of the performance of these systems, you’d see a much bleaker picture take shape.

Enough about the scams though. Let’s take a look at the systems that actually work. Every single successful sports bettor has one such system working for him, and mostly, he himself is the one who’s created it. Successful sports betting systems are not exactly impressive when it comes to performance, or they are but not when compared to the above discussed scam systems. Every such system is made up of two parts which need to work in unison in order to assure success. One part is about bankroll management. Bankroll management is not an intricate issue. All one needs to do is to set a few goals (like never betting more than 3-5% of his bankroll on any single match-up) and to stick to it. Bankroll management is mostly about discipline: get that part right and you’ll get the whole thing right.

The other part is about beating the bookie’s juice (which works just like the poker rake does, only there are no poker rakeback deals in sports betting), by tracking the lines skillfully, by interpreting their movements and by taking full advantage of the hidden value wherever it surfaces. This part of the system is obviously much more challenging to put together. What it does though, is that it offers the player long-term EV+, which will only work when coupled with proper bankroll management. How do you find the hidden value and how do you take advantage of it? That’s something to discuss in a different article.

If you’re an online poker player who already plays with rakeback, you may want to learn about the poker prop deals on offer at pokerprops.com. Such poker prop deals often offer rebate percentages of over 100%.